Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.518519 0.576529 0.639171 0.711975 0.794428 0.885096 0.992602
2025-04-06 0.422548 0.501309 0.592901 0.707844 0.849012 1.017720 1.236083
2025-04-13 0.356256 0.440563 0.543402 0.679118 0.855048 1.077496 1.383382
2025-04-20 0.323210 0.413650 0.528442 0.686487 0.901010 1.185782 1.598687
2025-04-27 0.297728 0.392344 0.516594 0.694045 0.944800 1.292298 1.820643
2025-05-04 0.276329 0.373609 0.505249 0.699483 0.984043 1.394066 2.045203
2025-05-11 0.257221 0.355820 0.492874 0.701129 1.016413 1.487252 2.265759
2025-05-18 0.242840 0.343149 0.486117 0.709448 1.058239 1.597224 2.523801
2025-05-25 0.223685 0.321856 0.464803 0.693470 1.060342 1.644418 2.683531
2025-06-01 0.213614 0.313095 0.461155 0.703867 1.104291 1.761927 2.974921
2025-06-08 0.200803 0.299141 0.448360 0.698346 1.121184 1.835355 3.196524
2025-06-15 0.192018 0.290700 0.443344 0.704681 1.157939 1.945486 3.497551
2025-06-22 0.180241 0.276938 0.429180 0.695120 1.167249 2.009656 3.723119
2025-06-29 0.170568 0.265919 0.418688 0.690920 1.185600 2.092078 3.995749
2025-07-06 0.157236 0.248056 0.395649 0.662989 1.158174 2.085816 4.086558
2025-07-13 0.151527 0.242427 0.392668 0.670157 1.196078 2.207853 4.461857
2025-07-20 0.146289 0.237223 0.389989 0.677510 1.234760 2.335092 4.865977
2025-07-27 0.141093 0.231744 0.386410 0.682799 1.269702 2.458122 5.278042
2025-08-03 0.135688 0.225557 0.381139 0.684400 1.297270 2.568446 5.676405
2025-08-10 0.131636 0.221495 0.379374 0.692492 1.338617 2.712322 6.176893
2025-08-17 0.124450 0.211426 0.366042 0.676950 1.329307 2.744121 6.403238
2025-08-24 0.121307 0.208486 0.365669 0.687064 1.375244 2.904477 6.983848
2025-08-31 0.116297 0.201843 0.357941 0.681693 1.387052 2.987564 7.373063